Topics in selective inference and its application to instrumental variables

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Abstract/Contents

Abstract
This thesis addresses problems in statistical inference after model selection procedures. The framework we adopt throughout the discussion is selective inference, which provides with valid inference conditioning on the model selection event. Chapter 1 gives a background introduction to the problem of interest and the guiding principle of selective inference, especially inference with randomization. Chapter 2 introduces the framework of inferactive data analysis, so-named to emphasize on inference after interactive data analysis. Chapter 3 discusses the problem of valid inference for the treatment effect after selecting invalid instrumental variables via a data-driven Lasso type selection procedure called SisVive. Instrumental variables models are widely used in Economics as well as Mendelian randomization in Genetics, and our method would be helpful for the practical use of instrument variables when it is not certain whether they are all valid or not. Our approach is conditional inference via selective inference with randomization, and fits into the general data analysis framework discussed in Chapter 2. We demonstrate the inference method through a development economics dataset and also a Mendelian randomization dataset with only summary statistics. Chapter 4 discusses the problem of valid inference for the treatment effect after pre-testing the strengths of instrumental variables via an F test. This is a widely used screening step in practical instrument variables data analysis, and people would only proceed to conduct inference and report results if the dataset passed the pre-test. We will show the common practice of ignoring the selection effect could result in significant bias in certain scenarios, while our inference method will correct for it. Again we adopt the conditional inference approach and demonstrate the method through two educational economics datasets.

Description

Type of resource text
Form electronic resource; remote; computer; online resource
Extent 1 online resource.
Place California
Place [Stanford, California]
Publisher [Stanford University]
Copyright date 2019; ©2019
Publication date 2019; 2019
Issuance monographic
Language English

Creators/Contributors

Author Bi, Nan
Degree supervisor Taylor, Jonathan E
Thesis advisor Taylor, Jonathan E
Thesis advisor Lai, T. L
Thesis advisor Tibshirani, Robert
Degree committee member Lai, T. L
Degree committee member Tibshirani, Robert
Associated with Stanford University, Department of Statistics.

Subjects

Genre Theses
Genre Text

Bibliographic information

Statement of responsibility Nan Bi.
Note Submitted to the Department of Statistics.
Thesis Thesis Ph.D. Stanford University 2019.
Location electronic resource

Access conditions

Copyright
© 2019 by Nan Bi

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