Deciphering the implications of state-sponsored cyber operations for IR theory

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Abstract/Contents

Abstract
This dissertation seeks to understand to what extent state-sponsored cyber operations should motivate revisions in traditional international relations theory. In Chapter 2, I test the applicability of existing theories of state conflict initiation and foreign policy on the cyber domain. I find that democracies are no less likely than autocracies to initiate a cyber operation in a given year, although they initiate with less frequency. Heterogeneity among authoritarian regime types exists; however, contrary to theories of traditional conflict initiation, personalism is not significant. These findings provide suggestive evidence that institutional mechanisms of conflict initiation and foreign policy do not restrain cyber initiation in the same way they have been theorized to restrain conventional conflict. Chapter 3 is a co-authored paper that utilizes a survey experiment to test whether the public support for retaliation is distinct in response to cyber and kinetic operations. We argue that certain characteristics, namely attribution certainty, timing, and perceived intentionality of harm, may account for the public's distinct attitudes to cyber operations. Finally, in Chapter 4, I advance the literature by arguing against a narrow focus on the impacts of the attribution problem, and I contribute to the development of a common taxonomy for target state communication of cyber operations. I argue that the attribution problem provides the target state increased agency in deciding when, and to what extent, to communicate cyber operations. This discretion allows states flexibility in their response and provides greater control over escalation and domestic political costs at the expense of deterrence by punishment. Taken together, these papers demonstrate how the clandestine and covert nature of cyber operations has implications for the domestic political costs and, subsequently, considerations for the initiation and response to cyber operations.

Description

Type of resource text
Form electronic resource; remote; computer; online resource
Extent 1 online resource.
Place California
Place [Stanford, California]
Publisher [Stanford University]
Copyright date 2021; ©2021
Publication date 2021; 2021
Issuance monographic
Language English

Creators/Contributors

Author Hedgecock, Kathryn Jayne
Degree supervisor Sagan, Scott Douglas
Thesis advisor Sagan, Scott Douglas
Thesis advisor Schultz, Kenneth A
Thesis advisor Tomz, Michael
Degree committee member Schultz, Kenneth A
Degree committee member Tomz, Michael
Associated with Stanford University, Department of Political Science

Subjects

Genre Theses
Genre Text

Bibliographic information

Statement of responsibility Kathryn Jayne Hedgecock.
Note Submitted to the Department of Political Science.
Thesis Thesis Ph.D. Stanford University 2021.
Location https://purl.stanford.edu/yj410vw9056

Access conditions

Copyright
© 2021 by Kathryn Jayne Hedgecock
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial 3.0 Unported license (CC BY-NC).

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