Prospering through Prospera: CCT Impacts on Educational Attainment and Achievement in Mexico

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Abstract/Contents

Abstract
This paper develops and estimates a dynamic model of student enrollment, school choice, academic achievement and grade progression to evaluate the impacts of Mexico’s conditional cash transfer program Prospera on educational outcomes over grades 4-9. Academic achievement is measured by nationwide standardized test scores in mathematics and Spanish. Enrollment decisions are the outcomes of sequential decisions at each age from persons’ feasible choice sets, determined by the types of schools locally available and local-labor-market opportunities. The achievement production function has a value-added structure. Model parameters are estimated by maximum likelihood using nationwide administrative test-score data (the ENCEL data) combined with survey data from students and parents, census labor-market data, and geocoded school location data. The estimation approach controls for selective school enrollment in different types of schools, grade retention and unobserved heterogeneity. The results show that the Prospera program increases school enrollment and academic achievement for program beneficiaries in lower-secondary school grades (grades 7-9). The average test score impacts are 0.09-0.13 standard deviations in mathematics and 0.03-0.05 standard deviations in Spanish. Students from the most disadvantaged backgrounds experience the largest impacts. The availability of telesecondary distance-learning schools is shown to be an important determinant of the Prospera program’s impacts on educational outcomes.

Description

Type of resource text
Date created August 31, 2021

Creators/Contributors

Author Behrman, Jere R.
Author Parker, Susan W.
Author Todd, Petra E.
Author Zhang, Weilong
Organizer of meeting Hurst, Erik
Organizer of meeting Kehoe, Patrick
Organizer of meeting Pastorino, Elena

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Subject economics
Genre Text
Genre Working paper
Genre Grey literature

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User agrees that, where applicable, content will not be used to identify or to otherwise infringe the privacy or confidentiality rights of individuals. Content distributed via the Stanford Digital Repository may be subject to additional license and use restrictions applied by the depositor.
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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license (CC BY).

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Preferred citation
Behrman, J., Parker, S., Todd, P., and Zhang, W. (2022). Prospering through Prospera: CCT Impacts on Educational Attainment and Achievement in Mexico. Stanford Digital Repository. Available at https://purl.stanford.edu/wx943wy4562

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