Earthquake Damage Prediction: A Technological Assessment

This report was prepared in conjunction with Stanford University by URS/John A. Blume & Associates, Engineers (URS/Blume), as part of a general study on seismic hazard and risk mitigation under a grant from the National Science Foundation to Stanford University.

This study was conducted to compare the technology behind three damage prediction methods that have been used in recently published seismic investigations. Damage prediction methodology developments can be beneficially utilized in identifying the potential loss from a seismic event, assisting in disaster mitigation planning, and improving construction design practices.

In the report, damage is predicted using the three methods for three San Francisco blocks. These blocks are used for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to represent the general seismic behavior of the city.