Applications of operations research in finance and healthcare

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Abstract/Contents

Abstract
This thesis covers several applications of Operations Research in the domains of finance and healthcare. There are three chapters, each covering a different application. Chapter 1 applies techniques from deep learning to estimate mortgage risk. The near-elimination of feature engineering is substituted by models with several thousand parameters that require large amounts of training data. The predictive performance of these models strongly exceeds that of baseline models, especially for predicting prepayments. This increased accuracy, however, comes at the cost of a more opaque model which is harder for a human to interpret than simpler models like logistic regression, which are currently the industry standard. The work in Chapter 2 explores the design of policies for biometric authentication. It first develops a model for the joint distribution of similarity scores associated with different fingers and irises. In the second step, this model is harnessed to design near-optimal multi-stage policies that would be used for authentication, and are robust to gaming, can be computed in real-time and are personalized for optimal performance. The work shows that a reduction of several orders of magnitude in the error rates is achievable by solely changing the authentication policies -- and leaving the hardware unchanged. Chapter 3 is motivated by a humanitarian cause geared towards helping developing countries -- to reduce mortality in children by identifying effective interventions at the planning stage. It takes a descriptive health model (called LiST), which estimates mortality of children given coverage of interventions, and embeds that into an optimization engine in order to minimize mortality under a fixed budget. In doing so, it allows LiST to be used in a prescriptive framework, where policymakers can identify the optimal intervention set at a fixed budget as well as recognize the trade-off of mortality reduction and budget allocation. We find that a greedy strategy offers near-optimal performance with ease of implementation. The findings also highlight the critical role that optimization plays in mortality reduction.

Description

Type of resource text
Form electronic; electronic resource; remote
Extent 1 online resource.
Publication date 2018
Issuance monographic
Language English

Creators/Contributors

Associated with Sadhwani, Apaar
Associated with Stanford University, Department of Management Science and Engineering.
Primary advisor Giesecke, Kay
Primary advisor Wein, Lawrence
Thesis advisor Giesecke, Kay
Thesis advisor Wein, Lawrence
Thesis advisor Ye, Yinyu
Advisor Ye, Yinyu

Subjects

Genre Theses

Bibliographic information

Statement of responsibility Apaar Sadhwani.
Note Submitted to the Department of Management Science and Engineering.
Thesis Thesis (Ph.D.)--Stanford University, 2018.
Location electronic resource

Access conditions

Copyright
© 2018 by Apaar Sadhwani
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial 3.0 Unported license (CC BY-NC).

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