Estimating model-form uncertainty in Reynolds-averaged navier-stokes closures

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Abstract/Contents

Abstract
Over the past several decades the role of numerical simulations has become increasingly important in the design of complex systems. In many such systems directly measuring or assessing the performance is prohibitively expensive, motivating the use of numerical simulations as a cost-effective alternative. As the role of simulations becomes more integral to the design and evaluation of such high risk systems, the ability to characterize and quantify the credibility or confidence in these simulation results becomes increasingly important. The subject of this thesis is one part of establishing credibility: uncertainty quantification (UQ). At its most basic level UQ tries to identify sources of uncertainty in the numerical simulation framework and characterize their influence on the solution. The focus of this work is a specific type uncertainty called model-form or "structural" uncertainty, which accounts for the assumptions, conceptualizations, or abstractions which the physics model relies upon, i.e. uncertainty in the mathematical structure of the model. The overarching goal of this thesis is to propose a general framework to address model-form uncertainty in complex numerical simulations. In the first portion of the thesis the framework is motivated and developed within the general context of computational analysis. A variety of analysis tools and concepts are explained in order to interpret the results provided in later chapters. The implementation of the framework to specifically investigate Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes turbulence model uncertainty is described in detail. The middle of the thesis shows application of the UQ framework to several turbulent flows, building a body of evidence for the utility of the approach. The cases are the incompressible developed channel and square duct, and the transonic flow over the Delery Case C geometry. These flows provide a hierarchy of unit level problems with increasing complexity and physical phenomena, allowing for investigation of the influence of the model-form framework in detail. The end of the thesis demonstrates the framework as part of a larger UQ analysis, within the context of establishing credibility for numerical simulations of the HyShot II scramjet engine. The various sources of uncertainty considered in this analysis are identified and described. The relative contributions to the overall uncertainty from these disparate sources is obtained, highlighting the importance of being able to independently analyze their influence.

Description

Type of resource text
Form electronic; electronic resource; remote
Extent 1 online resource.
Publication date 2014
Issuance monographic
Language English

Creators/Contributors

Associated with Emory, Michael Alan
Associated with Stanford University, Department of Mechanical Engineering.
Primary advisor Iaccarino, Gianluca
Thesis advisor Iaccarino, Gianluca
Thesis advisor Larsson, Johan, 1975-
Thesis advisor Lele, Sanjiva K. (Sanjiva Keshava), 1958-
Advisor Larsson, Johan, 1975-
Advisor Lele, Sanjiva K. (Sanjiva Keshava), 1958-

Subjects

Genre Theses

Bibliographic information

Statement of responsibility Michael Alan Emory.
Note Submitted to the Department of Mechanical Engineering.
Thesis Ph.D. Stanford University 2014
Location electronic resource

Access conditions

Copyright
© 2014 by Michael Alan Emory
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial 3.0 Unported license (CC BY-NC).

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