Spatial Economics for Granular Settings

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Abstract/Contents

Abstract
We examine the application of quantitative spatial models to the growing body of fine spatial data used to study economic outcomes for regions, cities, and neighborhoods. In “granular” settings where people choose from a large set of potential residence-workplace pairs, idiosyncratic choices affect equilibrium outcomes. Using both Monte Carlo simulations and event studies of neighborhood employment booms, we demonstrate that calibration procedures that equate observed shares and modeled probabilities perform very poorly in such settings. We introduce a general-equilibrium model of a granular spatial economy. Applying this model to Amazon’s proposed HQ2 in New York City reveals that the project’s predicted consequences for most neighborhoods are small relative to the idiosyncratic component of individual decisions in this setting. We propose a convenient approximation for researchers to quantify the “granular uncertainty” accompanying their counterfactual predictions.

Description

Type of resource text
Date created September 9, 2021

Creators/Contributors

Author Dingel, Jonathan I.
Author Tintelnot, Felix
Organizer of meeting Diamond, Rebecca
Organizer of meeting van Dijk, Winnie
Organizer of meeting Schneider, Martin
Organizer of meeting Tsivanidis, Nick

Subjects

Subject commuting
Subject granularity
Subject gravity equation
Subject quantitative spatial economics
Genre Text
Genre Working paper
Genre Grey literature

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User agrees that, where applicable, content will not be used to identify or to otherwise infringe the privacy or confidentiality rights of individuals. Content distributed via the Stanford Digital Repository may be subject to additional license and use restrictions applied by the depositor.
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license (CC BY).

Preferred citation

Preferred citation
Dingel, J. and Tintelnot, F. (2022). Spatial Economics for Granular Settings. Stanford Digital Repository. Available at https://purl.stanford.edu/vc393vm1986

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