Detection of bumps on the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson process

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Abstract/Contents

Abstract
The Scanning Statistics methodology has been applied to problems arising in many disciplines including epidemiology and genomics. In this thesis we propose a modification of the Scan Statistic for the Poisson model and we compare it with other tests based on this methodology. Poisson Processes have been widely used in credit risk to build models of credit defaults across time. Despite this, few papers are focused on building tools to test these models. In this thesis we use Scanning Statistics to test a particular family of credit risk models. We haven't seen an application of Scanning Statistics to credit risk. We consider the inhomogeneous Poisson Process with intensity p[mu](t) on an interval I and q[mu](t) on [0,1]\I. Suppose that the intensity [mu](t) is known while p, q and I are un- known. This problem can be transformed into detecting clusters on a sample of iid uniform random variables. We use scanning statistics to approach these problems and propose a scale penalty for the Scan (Maximum Likelihood Ratio Test). We establish detection conditions for this penalized test and also study the power of the Average Maximum Likelihood Ratio Test.

Description

Type of resource text
Form electronic; electronic resource; remote
Extent 1 online resource.
Publication date 2012
Issuance monographic
Language English

Creators/Contributors

Associated with Rivera Guerrero, Camilo Andres
Associated with Stanford University, Department of Statistics
Primary advisor Walther, Guenther
Thesis advisor Walther, Guenther
Thesis advisor Taylor, Jonathan E
Thesis advisor Zhang, Nancy R. (Nancy Ruonan)
Advisor Taylor, Jonathan E
Advisor Zhang, Nancy R. (Nancy Ruonan)

Subjects

Genre Theses

Bibliographic information

Statement of responsibility Camilo Rivera.
Note Submitted to the Department of Statistics.
Thesis Thesis (Ph.D.)--Stanford University, 2012.
Location electronic resource

Access conditions

Copyright
© 2012 by Camilo Andres Rivera Guerrero
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial 3.0 Unported license (CC BY-NC).

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