Rethinking the Welfare State

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Abstract/Contents

Abstract
The U.S. spends non trivially on non-medical transfers for its working-age population in a wide range of programs that support low and middle-income households. How valuable are these programs for U.S. households? Are there simpler, welfare-improving ways to transfer resources that are supported by a majority? What are the macroeconomic effects of such alternatives? We answer these questions in an equilibrium, life-cycle model with single and married households who face idiosyncratic productivity risk, in the presence of costly children and potential skill losses of females associated with non-participation. Our findings show that a potential revenue-neutral elimination of the welfare state generates large welfare losses in the aggregate. Yet, most households support eliminating current transfers since losses are concentrated among a small group. We find that a Universal Basic Income program does not improve upon the current system. If instead per-person transfers are implemented alongside a proportional tax, a Negative Income Tax experiment, there are transfer levels and associated tax rates that improve upon the current system. Providing per-person transfers to all households is quite costly, and reducing tax distortions helps to provide for additional resources to expand redistribution.

Description

Type of resource text
Date created August 17, 2021

Creators/Contributors

Author Guner, Nezih
Author Kaygusuz, Remzi
Author Ventura , Gustavo
Organizer of meeting Auclert, Adrien
Organizer of meeting Mitman, Kurt
Organizer of meeting Tonetti, Christopher
Organizer of meeting Wong, Arlene

Subjects

Subject taxes and transfers
Subject household labor supply
Subject income risk
Subject negative income tax
Genre Text
Genre Working paper
Genre Grey literature

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User agrees that, where applicable, content will not be used to identify or to otherwise infringe the privacy or confidentiality rights of individuals. Content distributed via the Stanford Digital Repository may be subject to additional license and use restrictions applied by the depositor.
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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license (CC BY).

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Preferred citation
Guner, N., Kaygusuz, R., and Ventura , G. (2022). Rethinking the Welfare State. Stanford Digital Repository. Available at https://purl.stanford.edu/sb318dg0589

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