A Precinct-Level Analysis of Latino Voting Behavior During The 2016 And 2020 Presidential Elections

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Abstract/Contents

Abstract
The goal of this paper is to understand Latino voting behavior during the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections using precinct-level analysis. The 2016 and 2020 presidential elections were cases of elections where Latinos were demonstrated to have voted for Republican candidates in surprising numbers. Analysis of data from precincts with high proportions of Latino citizen voting age population was utilized to provide a comprehensive description of the Latino electorate and address the ecological inference problem that emerges when attempting to infer voting behavior of electorate subgroups like Latinos using aggregate data. Using precinct-level Latino demographic data created for this analysis, Latinos were found to have voted more Republican in 2020 than in 2016. Additionally, in 2020, Latinos were found to lean more Republican than non-Latinos in precincts with high proportions of Latino citizen voting age population.

Description

Type of resource text
Publication date June 12, 2023; June 2023

Creators/Contributors

Author Argueta, Allison
Advisor Fouka, Vasiliki

Subjects

Subject precinct
Subject Latino
Subject voting behavior
Subject ecological inference
Genre Text
Genre Thesis

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 International license (CC BY-NC).

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Preferred citation
Argueta, A. (2023). A Precinct-Level Analysis of Latino Voting Behavior During The 2016 And 2020 Presidential Elections. Stanford Digital Repository. Available at https://purl.stanford.edu/rt696gr9804. https://doi.org/10.25740/rt696gr9804.

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Stanford University, Department of Economics, Honors Theses

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