Improve entrepreneurial funding screening and evaluation : business success prediction with machine learning

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Abstract/Contents

Abstract
As entrepreneurial funding supports the growth of entrepreneurial firms, it can be viewed as the fuel that enhances the creation, development, and growth of new technologies, industries, and markets. However, investing in entrepreneurial firms is highly risky. For example, Venture Capitalists (VCs) may receive a large number of business plans/proposals every year but only a few of them can be successful. Since VCs typically employ a small number of people, they do require a more effective and efficient screening and evaluation process. Prior research has mainly focused on identifying evaluation criteria to help VCs predict the business success of these firms. Nevertheless, relying on VCs' self-reporting and small regional datasets, these earlier studies have little agreement on the evaluation criteria. Therefore, it is difficult to employ those criteria to predict business success in practice. In this work, we propose data-driven approaches using machine learning methods as a complementary methodology to help VCs predict companies' success when they screen and evaluate investment deals. We start by verifying new evaluation criteria with large datasets and then focus on applying machine learning methods to predict business success. We compare different machine learning methods and discuss how VCs can benefit from the prediction. We also apply deep neural networks and few-shot learning methods to two challenging scenarios faced by the VCs: (1) when the companies are just founded and don't have any funding history; (2) when the companies are from an emerging industry that doesn't have a lot of historical data to learn from.

Description

Type of resource text
Form electronic resource; remote; computer; online resource
Extent 1 online resource.
Place California
Place [Stanford, California]
Publisher [Stanford University]
Copyright date 2021; ©2021
Publication date 2021; 2021
Issuance monographic
Language English

Creators/Contributors

Author Pan, Chenchen
Degree supervisor Tse, Edison
Thesis advisor Tse, Edison
Thesis advisor Eesley, Charles
Thesis advisor Ye, Yinyu
Degree committee member Eesley, Charles
Degree committee member Ye, Yinyu
Associated with Stanford University, Department of Management Science and Engineering

Subjects

Genre Theses
Genre Text

Bibliographic information

Statement of responsibility Chenchen Pan.
Note Submitted to the Department of Management Science and Engineering.
Thesis Thesis Ph.D. Stanford University 2021.
Location https://purl.stanford.edu/ps743yv6430

Access conditions

Copyright
© 2021 by Chenchen Pan
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial 3.0 Unported license (CC BY-NC).

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