From Zero to Sixty: Explaining the Proliferation of Shi'a Militias in Iraq After 2003

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Abstract/Contents

Abstract
At the time of the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003, there were two main Shi’a militias operating in the country. When the U.S. withdrew eight years later, there were five such groups. By late 2016 there were well over 40 Shi’a militias active in Iraq. This thesis asks what has driven the proliferation of these groups; specifically, why has there been such a dramatic increase in the number of Iraqi Shi’a militias, not just in the number of men joining these groups. Studying almost 30 of the most prominent Shi’a militias that have emerged in Iraq since 2003, this thesis examines the factors that precipitated this proliferation. It finds that in contrast to the assumptions made by the existing literature on civil wars, militant group fragmentation only accounts for a small portion of the proliferation of the Shi’a militias in Iraq. In fact, most of the new militias that have emerged since 2003 were founded as entirely new, independent organizations, not as splinter groups. Furthermore, a large proportion of these new organizations were founded by political parties, suggesting a link between Iraqi electoral politics and militia proliferation. The data also implies that what splintering has occurred among the Shi’a militias in Iraq is likely not due to direct Iranian influence, as many observers have suggested. Instead, the causes of fragmentation among these groups appear to be relatively diverse, although the evidence suggests that the war in neighboring Syria has played an important role in the proliferation process.

Description

Type of resource text
Date created June 2016 - May 2017

Creators/Contributors

Author NEWBY, LAUREN
Primary advisor CRENSHAW, MARTHA

Subjects

Subject Center for International Security and Cooperation
Subject Terrorism
Subject Shi'a Militias
Subject Iraq
Subject Security Sector Reform
Subject Iraqi Civil War
Subject Militias
Subject The Islamic State
Subject ISIS
Genre Thesis

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial 3.0 Unported license (CC BY-NC).

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Preferred Citation
Newby, Lauren. (2017). "From Zero to Sixty: Explaining the Proliferation of Shi'a Militias in Iraq After 2003." (Honors Thesis, Stanford University, Stanford, CA). Retrieved from https://purl.stanford.edu/pf810nm2047.

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Stanford University, Center for International Security and Cooperation, Interschool Honors Program in International Security Studies, Theses

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