Default prediction for small businesses

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Abstract/Contents

Abstract
Small business loan defaults have been an active research area. Two major families of default prediction models are reduced form models and structural form models. Reduced form models focus on finding the statistical relations between default events and various economic variables, while structural form models focus on describing default event as a stopping time of some stochastic process. First we propose a reduced form model that uses massive amounts of data mined from the internet to supplement traditional economic variables in the data set. We compared the performance of reduced form models using internet covariates versus those using traditional covariates, and explored the possibility of a hybrid model using both types of covariates. Secondly, we propose a structural form model where we integrate the impact of relationship lending, a practice that has achieved success in recent years, into an incomplete information model. Numerical results are provided for both models.

Description

Type of resource text
Form electronic; electronic resource; remote
Extent 1 online resource.
Publication date 2015
Issuance monographic
Language English

Creators/Contributors

Associated with Zhang, Lingren
Associated with Stanford University, Department of Management Science and Engineering.
Primary advisor Giesecke, Kay
Thesis advisor Giesecke, Kay
Thesis advisor Infanger, Gerd
Thesis advisor Lai, T. L
Advisor Infanger, Gerd
Advisor Lai, T. L

Subjects

Genre Theses

Bibliographic information

Statement of responsibility Lingren Zhang.
Note Submitted to the Department of Management Science and Engineering.
Thesis Thesis (Ph.D.)--Stanford University, 2015.
Location electronic resource

Access conditions

Copyright
© 2015 by Lingren Zhang
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial 3.0 Unported license (CC BY-NC).

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