Topics in modeling the term structure of interest rates

Placeholder Show Content

Abstract/Contents

Abstract
This dissertation studies topics of current interest in modeling the term structure of interest rates. Chapter 1 develops and estimates a canonical arbitrage-free dynamic term structure model that incorporates macroeconomic variables. The model allows macroeconomic variables to contain information about future yields that is not reflected in the current cross section of yields ("unspanned" macro variables). Moreover, it accommodates rich feedback between macroeconomic and yield variables. Chapters 2 and 3 analyze the behavior of yields in low-interest environments. Standard Gaussian term structure models do not impose a lower bound on yields. As shown in Chapter 2, this can lead to estimation bias when a lower bound is present in the data. Chapter 3 develops a new technique for fast and accurate approximation of arbitrage-free bond yields in a class of "shadow rate" models that formally impose a lower bound on observed yields. Chapter 4 ties together the previous three chapters. It sets up and estimates a shadow rate term structure model with unspanned macro variables, and uses the model to analyze interest rate expectations before, during, and in the aftermath of the recent financial crisis.

Description

Type of resource text
Form electronic; electronic resource; remote
Extent 1 online resource.
Publication date 2015
Issuance monographic
Language English

Creators/Contributors

Associated with Priebsch, Marcel A
Associated with Stanford University, Department of Economics.
Primary advisor Singleton, Kenneth J
Thesis advisor Singleton, Kenneth J
Thesis advisor Harding, Matthew C
Thesis advisor Levin, Jonathan
Advisor Harding, Matthew C
Advisor Levin, Jonathan

Subjects

Genre Theses

Bibliographic information

Statement of responsibility Marcel A. Priebsch.
Note Submitted to the Department of Economics.
Thesis Thesis (Ph.D.)--Stanford University, 2015.
Location electronic resource

Access conditions

Copyright
© 2015 by Marcel Albert Priebsch

Also listed in

Loading usage metrics...