The dynamics of partisanship within election cycles

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Abstract/Contents

Abstract
Is party identification immovable and immune from short-term influences or is it swayed by political dynamics that arise during campaigns and elections? Social scientists have debate the answer to this question for over fifty years while relying on data that measures partisanship between elections. This dissertation incorporates data from two unique sources to offer a look into how partisanship behaves within election cycles. First, I observe individual-level systematic changes in partisanship over the course of the 2008 presidential election campaign using 10-wave panel data covering the 13 months leading up to the election. Partisanship becomes entangled by and confused with vote intention. Furthermore, these changes cannot be accounted for by measurement error alone. Next, I use the same data set to evaluate the relative stability of partisanship compared to a diverse set of attitudes and find it as stable, but not more stable, than ideology or evaluations of president's job performance. Finally, by bringing together an aggregate set of data composed of over 160 high quality commercial and academic public opinion polls, I am able to corroborate the patterns found in 2008. Overall, partisan intensity decreases closer to elections and increases further away from the glare and mixed messages of a campaign. Implications for how we understand American politics are discussed.

Description

Type of resource text
Form electronic; electronic resource; remote
Extent 1 online resource.
Publication date 2011
Issuance monographic
Language English

Creators/Contributors

Associated with Cobb, Curtiss L III
Associated with Stanford University, Department of Sociology.
Primary advisor Parigi, Paolo, 1973-
Primary advisor Sandefur, Rebecca, 1966-
Thesis advisor Parigi, Paolo, 1973-
Thesis advisor Sandefur, Rebecca, 1966-
Thesis advisor Nie, Norman H
Advisor Nie, Norman H

Subjects

Genre Theses

Bibliographic information

Statement of responsibility Curtiss L. Cobb, III.
Note Submitted to the Department of Sociology.
Thesis Ph.D. Stanford University 2011
Location electronic resource

Access conditions

Copyright
© 2011 by Curtiss Lee Cobb
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial 3.0 Unported license (CC BY-NC).

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