Student Loan Solutions: Modeling the Financial Impacts of Income Based Repayment

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Abstract/Contents

Abstract
Student loan debt in the United States is a major source of hardship for a large portion of the population. As of September 2019, almost 45 million Americans had outstanding student loans, many with six-figure balances, and there was over $1.5 trillion in outstanding student debt. This paper uses a Copula approach to model income dynamics for college graduates across ages. By simulating incomes for a population- representative sample of student-borrowers, I am able to estimate the financial impacts of enrolling borrowers in the incumbent Income Based Repayment (IBR) plan. I find that enrolling all borrowers who benefit from enrollment would cost the United States federal government $227 billion, which is equivalent to the cost of an 18.3 percent cumulative default rate. In addition, the paper simulates a novel Income Driven Repayment (IDR) program for new borrowers, showing that such a program benefits student borrowers. Based on these findings, I argue that debt is an inherently flawed as a way to support higher education.

Description

Type of resource text
Date created May 21, 2020

Creators/Contributors

Author Chizewer, Andrew
Advisor Admati, Anat

Subjects

Subject Department of Economics
Subject student loans
Subject income-based repayment
Subject copula
Subject debt
Subject debt-restructuring
Genre Thesis

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User agrees that, where applicable, content will not be used to identify or to otherwise infringe the privacy or confidentiality rights of individuals. Content distributed via the Stanford Digital Repository may be subject to additional license and use restrictions applied by the depositor.
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial 3.0 Unported license (CC BY-NC).

Preferred citation

Preferred Citation
Andrew Chizewer. (2020). Student Loan Solutions: Modeling the Financial Impacts of Income Based Repayment. Stanford Digital Repository. Available at: https://purl.stanford.edu/fk157hr0580

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Stanford University, Department of Economics, Honors Theses

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