Models to inform the safe collection and transfusion of donated blood

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Abstract/Contents

Abstract
Donated blood is a critical component of health systems around the world, but its collection and transfusion involve risk for both donors and recipients. Transfusion-transmitted diseases and non-infectious adverse events pose a risk to transfusion recipients, and repeat blood donation can cause or exacerbate iron deficiency among donors. This dissertation describes four decision-analytic modeling projects that inform blood safety policy. In Chapter 2, I integrate epidemiological, health-economic, and biovigilance data to estimate the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of a 2016 policy mandating that all blood donations are screened for Zika virus in the U.S. The analysis uses a novel microsimulation of individual transfusion recipients that captures the relationship between disease exposure risk and the number and type of blood components transfused. In Chapter 3, I develop the first health-economic assessment of whole blood pathogen inactivation. The analysis is for Ghana and improves on prior blood safety assessments for sub-Saharan Africa by considering the likelihood and timing of clinical detection for chronic viral infections. In Chapter 4, I develop an optimization-based framework for identifying the optimal portfolio of blood safety interventions that overcomes some limitations of traditional cost-effectiveness analyses for blood safety. By applying this framework retrospectively to evaluate U.S. policies for Zika and West Nile virus, I show that the optimal policy can vary by geography, season, and year. Chapter 5 focuses on how frequently donors are allowed to give blood. I develop a machine learning-based decision model that tailors the inter-donation interval to each donor's risk of iron-related adverse outcomes to balance risks to donors against risks to the sufficiency of the blood supply. Together, these model-based analyses introduce novel methods and provide guidance for efficient and effective use of resources for blood safety.

Description

Type of resource text
Form electronic resource; remote; computer; online resource
Extent 1 online resource.
Place California
Place [Stanford, California]
Publisher [Stanford University]
Copyright date 2021; ©2021
Publication date 2021; 2021
Issuance monographic
Language English

Creators/Contributors

Author Russell, William Alton
Degree supervisor Brandeau, Margaret L
Thesis advisor Brandeau, Margaret L
Thesis advisor Goldhaber-Fiebert, Jeremy D
Thesis advisor Owens, Douglas K
Degree committee member Goldhaber-Fiebert, Jeremy D
Degree committee member Owens, Douglas K
Associated with Stanford University, Department of Management Science and Engineering

Subjects

Genre Theses
Genre Text

Bibliographic information

Statement of responsibility W. Alton Russell.
Note Submitted to the Department of Management Science and Engineering.
Thesis Thesis Ph.D. Stanford University 2021.
Location electronic resource

Access conditions

Copyright
© 2021 by William Alton Russell
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial 3.0 Unported license (CC BY-NC).

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