RESCUING POTENTIAL DROPOUTS IN MOROCCO : DROPOUT EARLY WARNING SYSTEM (DEWS)

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Abstract/Contents

Abstract
Morocco faces a critical challenge with its student dropout rates. While dropout rate stands at 3.6% in primary school, is escalates to 14.3% in middle-school, and 10.4% in high school as of 2019. Precise identification of students vulnerable to academic discontinuation offers an opportunity for proactive remedial intervention, enabling schools to orchestrate timely preventive measures. This study focuses on utilizing data mining and machine learning techniques to predict academic dropouts and facilitate timely intervention in middle school and high school. By leveraging a comprehensive dataset encompassing academic, demographic, and socio-economic information for 336,135 students in the region of Fes-Meknes in 2015-2019, the research aims to achieve two primary objectives: (1) modeling machine learning algorithms to forecast student dropout, aiding in early detection and intervention for at-risk students, and (2) identifying key data features that encapsulate the risk factors leading to dropout, aiding in early detection and intervention for at-risk students. Through a comparative analysis of different machine learning methodologies, the study reveals promising results, demonstrating the ability to correctly identify 84% of potential dropouts by filtering just 19% of the dataset using Gradient Boosted Trees. The research identifies unauthorized absences, Grade Point Average (GPA), and class rank as crucial indicators for predicting school dropout. These findings offer valuable insights and pave the way for implementing predictive data science in the education sector, potentially mitigating dropout rates and promoting academic success in Morocco.

Description

Type of resource text
Publication date June 9, 2023; June 9, 2023

Creators/Contributors

Author Bensouda Koraichi, Othman
Advisor Loyalka, Prashant

Subjects

Subject Educational Data Mining
Subject Dropouts > Education
Subject Machine learning
Genre Text
Genre Capstone
Genre Student project report

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User agrees that, where applicable, content will not be used to identify or to otherwise infringe the privacy or confidentiality rights of individuals. Content distributed via the Stanford Digital Repository may be subject to additional license and use restrictions applied by the depositor.
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 International license (CC BY-NC).

Preferred citation

Preferred citation
Bensouda Koraichi, O. (2023). RESCUING POTENTIAL DROPOUTS IN MOROCCO : DROPOUT EARLY WARNING SYSTEM (DEWS). Stanford Digital Repository. Available at https://purl.stanford.edu/dg848nc0394. https://doi.org/10.25740/dg848nc0394.

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Education Data Science (EDS) Capstone Projects, Graduate School of Education

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