To co-opt or to coerce? How the adversaries of great power proteges respond to retrenchment

Placeholder Show Content

Abstract/Contents

Abstract
When great powers withdraw security from weaker proteges, how will the territorial adversaries of those proteges respond? While existing scholarship in international relations implies that adversaries will respond by coercing territorial concessions from the former proteges, the historical record shows that many adversaries actually make territorial concessions to former great power proteges in the wake of retrenchment. Scholars had not previously identified - much less explained - this puzzle. To do so, I argue that retrenchment offers adversaries a few strategic opportunities. While the loss of great power assistance weakens the protege's defenses, it also leaves the protege's foreign policy alignment ``up for grabs." Thus, the adversaries of former great power proteges have the opportunity to coerce territorial gains or to attempt to bring the protege into their sphere of influence. Because offering territorial concessions is a powerful way for the adversary to co-opt the protege's foreign policy alignment, however, pursuing both strategies simultaneously is challenging. Thus, the adversaries of the former proteges face a trade-off between gaining territory and gaining influence. I offer several predictions about the conditions under which adversaries are likely to pursue territorial coercion vs. foreign policy co-option and test my theory in two cases: (1) Britain's withdrawal of security from proteges in the Middle East after World War II and (2) the Soviet Union's withdrawal of security assistance from client states in the late 1980s. The results support my hypotheses. My theory and findings contribute to existing scholarship on alliances, alignments, territorial disputes, and retrenchment and also have important implications for current policy debates about the potential consequences of American retrenchment.

Description

Type of resource text
Form electronic resource; remote; computer; online resource
Extent 1 online resource.
Place California
Place [Stanford, California]
Publisher [Stanford University]
Copyright date 2022; ©2022
Publication date 2022; 2022
Issuance monographic
Language English

Creators/Contributors

Author Fanlo, Abby Marie
Degree supervisor Schultz, Kenneth A
Thesis advisor Schultz, Kenneth A
Thesis advisor Fearon, James D
Thesis advisor Tomz, Michael
Degree committee member Fearon, James D
Degree committee member Tomz, Michael
Associated with Stanford University, Department of Political Science

Subjects

Genre Theses
Genre Text

Bibliographic information

Statement of responsibility Abby Fanlo.
Note Submitted to the Department of Political Science.
Thesis Thesis Ph.D. Stanford University 2022.
Location https://purl.stanford.edu/db657dt3129

Access conditions

Copyright
© 2022 by Abby Marie Fanlo
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial 3.0 Unported license (CC BY-NC).

Also listed in

Loading usage metrics...