Long-term avian responses to drought and urbanization in Northern California

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Abstract/Contents

Abstract
Birds support agricultural systems, promote ecotourism, and engender empathy for nature. However, North America has lost three billion birds since 1970 due to many anthropogenic threats, including climate and land-use change. Nationwide annual surveys often lack the resolution to accurately assess many local population trends or determine the effect of global change across the annual cycle for targeted conservation action. This thesis leverages long-term community science data, previously published literature, and novel field surveys to assess changes to Northern California bird communities over the last three decades. First, I analyzed 30 years of bird transect data recorded along representative trails of Stanford University’s Jasper Ridge Biological Preserve to determine the population trends for a sample of 67 species. Of these, 21 species demonstrated declines, including some West Coast and California endemic species. Second, I used the same transect dataset to investigate how climate change-induced drought over different time scales affected bird occurrence. Of 98 species evaluated, 50% of them were impacted by drought either positively or negatively over 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5 years, indicating that climate change may cause rapid bird community turnover. Furthermore, this research uncovered that avian responses to climate change may additionally vary depending on local land use. Lastly, to determine how land use modulates long-term changes to local bird communities, I resurveyed 95 sites along an urbanization gradient that were originally surveyed in 1992. To my knowledge, this is the first study to examine long-term bird population changes along an urbanization gradient. This approach highlighted the interactive effects between land use and other global change drivers, including climate change. Out of 73 resurveyed species, 45% experienced different population trends under varying levels of urbanization. Urban areas experienced more extreme population trends than those observed at the Jasper Ridge Biological Preserve (the least urbanized site on the gradient). For example, some native songbirds became more abundant in urban areas. At the same time, other species, like the Mourning Dove, declined across the study area, but experienced slower declines within Jasper Ridge. While preserves now cradle the last populations of many species that have disappeared from suburbia, protected land only slows the continued decline of many species. Despite the multifaceted analysis presented here, it is difficult to ascertain whether population declines observed at Jasper Ridge are due to changes happening within the reserve (e.g., changes in climate or populations of exotic species) or changes happening in the broader landscape (e.g., habitat fragmentation, edge effects, or urbanization). For example, a species may be extirpated from a small, isolated nature preserve if its fluctuating population lacks sufficient connectivity to its metapopulation (the network of populations within a mosaic landscape). Since many species still prefer less-developed areas, bird conservation planning should implement further gardens and greenspaces to support birds’ continued incursion and likely adaptation to urban spaces. Finally, given that historically marginalized communities have been redlined into areas with limited green spaces, they have likely lost some bird species faster than privileged communities – an issue of environmental justice that requires serious consideration.

Description

Type of resource text
Date modified December 5, 2022
Publication date May 6, 2022; May 2022

Creators/Contributors

Author Wright-Ueda, Julien ORCiD icon https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2731-5497 (unverified)
Thesis advisor Mordecai, Erin ORCiD icon https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4402-5547 (unverified)
Thesis advisor McFadden, Tyler ORCiD icon https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9593-3895 (unverified)
Thesis advisor Dirzo, Rodolfo ORCiD icon https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5751-9888 (unverified)
Degree granting institution Stanford University, Department of Biology

Subjects

Subject Biology
Subject Ecology
Subject Birds
Subject Bird populations
Subject Birds > Conservation
Subject Science
Subject Climatic changes
Subject Droughts
Subject Urbanization
Subject Land use, Urban
Subject Land use
Subject California
Subject Biodiversity conservation
Subject Nature conservation
Subject Wildlife conservation
Subject California > San Francisco Bay Area
Subject California > Jasper Ridge Biological Preserve
Genre Text
Genre Thesis

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User agrees that, where applicable, content will not be used to identify or to otherwise infringe the privacy or confidentiality rights of individuals. Content distributed via the Stanford Digital Repository may be subject to additional license and use restrictions applied by the depositor.
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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 International license (CC BY-NC).

Preferred citation

Preferred citation
Wright-Ueda, J. (2022). Long-term avian responses to drought and urbanization in Northern California. Stanford Digital Repository. Available at https://purl.stanford.edu/cm491ft2324

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Undergraduate Theses, Department of Biology, 2021-2022

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